Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

<b> MARKET</b> ANALYSIS <b> MARKET</b> ANALYSIS

MARKET ANALYSIS

Cutting-Edge Market Commentary for Informed Strategy Making

WEEKLY OUTLOOK



19.06.2023-23.06.2023


Good afternoon traders.


A rather busy week went by with investors focusing mainly on Central banks monetary decisions. After a rather easy going Monday, Tuesday had to offer a little bit of excitement. UK’s Claimant Count Change saw a huge decline of 13.6K while market consensus was anticipating a decline of 9.6K. Inflation in the US was down to 4.0% based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Wednesday kicked off with news coming from the UK showing that the industrial sector activity lost its recovery traction in April. The much-anticipated FED decision was released later on Wednesday leaving the rates unchanged in line with market expectations. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell held a news conference stating that "It will take time for full effects of monetary restraint to be realized, especially on inflation."
The next day it was ECB’s turn to release their monetary policy decision. As expected, the Central bank raised the Main Refinancing Rate by 0.25% with President Christine Lagarde stating that “we still have ground to cover", leaving the door open to another hike in July.
Finally on Friday the Bank of Japan (BoJ) board members decided to leave their current monetary policy settings unchanged. This was largely expected with Governor Kazuo Ueda however stating that eventually they would have to change this stance, especially as inflation rises further above the central bank’s 2% annual target.

Have a nice week ahead.






Monday 19 June

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

12:00

EUR

Buba - Monthly Report

-

-

14:30

CAD

Raw Materials Price Index RMPI (MoM) (May)

2.2%

2.9%

23:00

NZD

Westpac Consumer Survey

76.1

77.7


Tuesday 20 June

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

03:30

AUD

RBA - Meeting Minutes

-

-

08:00

EUR

German PPI (MoM) (May)

0.3%

0.3%

14:30

USD

Building Permits (May)

1.501M

1.417M


Wednesday 21 June

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

01:50

JPY

BoJ - Meeting Minutes

-

-

08:00

GBP

CPI (YoY) (May)

8.8%

8.7%

14:30

CAD

Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr)

0.1%

-1.4%


Thursday 22 June

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

09:30

CHF

SNB - Interest Rate Decision

1.75%

1.50%

13:00

GBP

BoE - Interest Rate Decision

4.75%

4.50%

16:00

USD

Existing Home Sales (May)

4.65M

4.28M


Friday 23 June

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

08:00

GBP

Core Retail Sales (YoY) (May)

0.2%

-2.6%

09:30

EUR

German Manufacturing PMI (Jun)

44.5

43.2

15:45

USD

Services PMI (Jun)

55.1

54.9




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