Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62.5% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

<b> MARKET</b> ANALYSIS <b> MARKET</b> ANALYSIS

MARKET ANALYSIS

Cutting-Edge Market Commentary for Informed Strategy Making

WEEKLY

OUTLOOK

17.04.2023-21.04.2023

Good morning traders.


A quite start to the week with most markets remaining closed on Easter Monday. On a fundamental level we note the ending of China’s military drill around the island of Taiwan which put to the test the US-China tension. On Tuesday data released by the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics revealed that the consumer price index slowed more than expected reaching the lowest levels since September 2021.

On Wednesday inflation data coming from the US showed that inflation is declining even more. CPI came below the market expectation of 5.2% at 5.0% on a yearly basis in March. Fed’s probably calmer after the release of the data and its now more likely to support the emerging positive trend. BOC later on the day kept the key interest unchanged at 4.50% giving the Loonie a boost after the announcement.

Early Thursday Aussie rallied after Australia Bureau of Statistics announced the unemployment data which came near market expectations at 3.5%. In Europe, UK’s National statistics released the GDP data which showed that the British economy stagnated at 0% in February, compared with 0.1% expectations. In the US the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand declined to 2.7% on a yearly basis in March putting the dollar under a renewed selling pressure.

On Friday Retail Sales in the United States declined 1% on a monthly basis in March to $691.7 billion showing a potential tightening in consumer spending, as such reduced consumer spending may limit the Fed’s ability to continue increasing interest rates as the economy may be reaching a slowdown.



                                                  WEEK AHEAD


Monday 17 April

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

14:30

USD

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Apr)

-14.50

-24.60

14:30

CAD

Wholesale Sales (MoM) (Feb)

3.1%

2.4%

22:00

USD

TIC Net Long-Term Transactions (Feb)

28.7B

31.9B


Tuesday 18 April

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

04:00

CNY

Industrial Production (YoY) (Mar)

2.5%

2.4%

08:00

GBP

Labour Report - Unemployment Rate (Feb)

3.7%

3.7%

14:30

CAD

CPI (YoY) (Mar)

4.8%

4.7%


Wednesday 19 April

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

08:00

GBP

CPI (YoY) (Mar)

9.9%

10.4%

11:00

EUR

CPI (YoY) (Mar)

6.8%

6.9%

14:30

CAD

RMPI - Raw Materials Price Index (MoM) (Mar)

0.1%

-0.4%


Thursday 20 April

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

00:45

NZD

CPI (YoY) (Q1)

7.2%

7.2%

14:30

USD

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr)

-16.2

-23.2

16:00

USD

Existing Home Sales (Mar)

4.48M

4.58M


Friday 21 April

Time CEST

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

09:00

GBP

Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar)

1.1%

1.2%

09:30

EUR

German Manufacturing PMI (Apr)

44.8

44.7

14:30

CAD

Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb)

0.8%

0.9%


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RISK WARNING: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62.5% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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